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Survey: Global feed output declines in 2019

Survey: Global feed output declines in 2019

Photo: Adobe stock
01.27.2020
By Arvin Donley






LEXINGTON, KENTUCKY, U.S. — The annual Alltech Global Feed Survey, released on Jan. 27, estimates that international feed tonnage decreased by 1.07% to 1.126 billion tonnes of feed produced in 2019, due largely to African swine fever (ASF) and the decline of pig feed in the Asia-Pacific region.
It was the first decline in global production since Alltech began the annual survey nine years ago.

The top nine feed-producing countries, according to the survey, are the United States, China, Brazil, Russia, India, Mexico, Spain, Japan and Germany. Together, these countries produce 58% of the world’s feed production and contain 57% of the world’s feed mills, and they can be viewed as an indicator of overall trends in agriculture.
China had been the top feed-producing country, but its pork industry was rocked by ASF, which resulted in the culling of half of its pig herd.
The global data, collected from 145 countries and nearly 30,000 feed mills, indicates feed production by species as: broilers 28%; pigs 24%; layers 14%; dairy 12%; beef 10%; other species 6%; aquaculture 4%; and pets 2%. Predominant growth came from the layer, broiler, aqua and pet feed sectors.
The following are regional results from the survey.
North America: The United States is the largest feed-producing country globally with an estimated 214 million tonnes, with beef (61.09 million tonnes), broilers (48.525 million tonnes) and pigs (44.86 million tonnes) as the leading species. North America saw steady growth of 1.6% over last year. Canada produced 21.6 million tonnes with pigs (8.23 million tonnes), broilers (3.25 million tonnes) and dairy (4.2 million tonnes) leading species feed production.
Latin America: As a region, Latin America saw 2.2% growth to 167.9 million tonnes. Brazil remained the leader in feed production for the region and third overall globally, with the primary species for feed production being broilers (32.1 million tonnes) and pigs (17.0 million tonnes). Brazil, Mexico and Argentina continue to produce the majority of feed in Latin America with 76% of regional feed production.
Europe: Europe remained relatively stagnant with a slight increase of 0.2% over last year. The top three feed-producing countries in Europe are Russia (40.5 million tonnes), Spain (34.8 million tonnes) and Germany (25.0 million tonnes), with pig feed production leading the way in all three countries. The ruminant sector was hit the hardest as both dairy and beef numbers are estimated to be down by 4% and 3%, respectively. This was offset primarily by strong growth in the aqua (7%) and layer (3%) industries.
Asia-Pacific: The Asia-Pacific region saw feed production decrease by 5.5% in 2019, primarily due to ASF and large declines in pig feed production. China’s feed production declined by almost 20 million tonnes of feed overall to 167.9 million tonnes and fell from the top feed-producing country globally to second, behind the United States. India and Japan remained in the top nine feed-producing countries, with similar production compared to 2018 with 39 million tonnes and 25.3 million tonnes, respectively, while Vietnam declined by 7%.
Africa: Africa continued strong growth with a 7.5% increase in overall feed production, with all the primary species seeing positive growth. The top five feed-producing countries in the region account for 75% of Africa’s feed production, and they are South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria, Morocco and Algeria. The region’s primary species include broiler, layer and dairy, and combined, they account for nearly half of feed production estimates in the region.
The following survey results focused on trends in species that consume animal feed.
Pig feed production was greatly impacted by ASF, with an 11% decrease. The primary producing region for pig feed remains Asia-Pacific, but it also experienced the largest decline of 26%, with China (-35%), Cambodia (-22%), Vietnam (-21%) and Thailand (-16%) experiencing large decreases.
Europe, North America and Latin America remained relatively stable compared to last year, within a percentage point’s worth of gain or loss. While Africa is a small region from a tonnage standpoint for pig feed, it showed a large increase of 29%.
In the poultry sector, Asia-Pacific is the leader in both broiler (115.2 million tonnes) and layer (73.1 million tonnes) feed. In Latin America, total broiler production amounted to 60.8 million tonnes, with Brazil leading the region with 32.1 million tonnes followed by Mexico with 10.5 million tonnes, while Mexico’s layer feed production increased by 11% to 7.05 million tonnes and surpassed Brazil. Russia leads Europe with 10.86 million tonnes of the total region’s 56.3 million tonnes of broiler feed and 5.3 million tonnes of the region’s total of 33.5 million tonnes of layer feed. In North America, the United States accounts for 94% of the broiler feed with 48.5 million tonnes, while layer feed in Canada increased by 460,000 tonnes.
Europe leads global dairy feed production with 34% followed by North America (21.8%), Asia-Pacific (17.6%) and Latin America (15.3%). The top dairy feed-producing countries are Turkey (6.5 million tonnes), Germany (5.2 million tonnes), Russia (4.2 million tonnes), the U.K. (3.8 million tonnes), France (3.4 million tonnes), the Netherlands (3.3. million tonnes) and Spain (3.2 million tonnes).
North America continues to lead global beef feed production with 62.3 million tonnes, followed by Europe (21.9 million tonnes) and Latin America (13.9 million tonnes). For the 2020 Alltech Global Feed Survey, the beef feed production estimation was recalculated to improve its accuracy. The new estimate takes into account the average days on feed and intake as a percentage of body weight in the feedlot. Last year’s estimation also was recalculated to reflect this formula change for a proper year-on-year comparison.
Overall, aquaculture feeds showed growth of 4% over last year. Per tonne, Asia-Pacific grew the most with an additional 1.5 million tonnes. The primary contributors were China, Vietnam and Bangladesh. Europe’s decrease is in large part due to decreased feed production in Russia, which is primarily due to an increase in imports.
The pet food sector saw growth of 4% with the largest tonnage increases in Asia-Pacific (10%), Europe (3%) and Latin America (6%). By country, increases were seen in China, Indonesia, Portugal, Hungary, Ecuador and Argentina.
To access insights from the Alltech Global Feed Survey, including a recording of a panel discussion, an interactive map and presentation slides, visit alltechfeedsurvey.com.
The Alltech Global Feed Survey assesses compound feed production and prices through information collected by Alltech’s global sales team and in partnership with local feed associations in the last quarter of 2019. It is an estimate serving as a resource for policymakers, decision-makers and industry stakeholders.